Abstract
Careful timing of nonpharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing may avoid high “second waves” of infections of COVID-19. This article asks what should be the timing of a set of K complete-lockdowns of prespecified lengths (such as two weeks) so as to minimize the peak of the infective compartment. Perhaps surprisingly, it is possible to give an explicit and easily computable rule for when each lockdown should commence. Simulations are used to show that the rule remains fairly accurate even if lockdowns are not perfect.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 4708-4731 |
| Number of pages | 24 |
| Journal | International Journal of Robust and Nonlinear Control |
| Volume | 33 |
| Issue number | 9 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Jun 2023 |
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Control and Systems Engineering
- General Chemical Engineering
- Biomedical Engineering
- Aerospace Engineering
- Mechanical Engineering
- Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Keywords
- COVID-19
- SIR model
- epidemics
- lockdowns
- mathematical epidemiology
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